Despite all the FedEx Cup hoopla, Tiger has not committed to playing in the PGA Tour’s season opener, The Mercedes. When asked at the Target World Challenge last week Tiger jokingly said he’d play in every tournament in 2007. That would be OK with me.
I think the real reason he’s probably going to bail on the Mercedes is he knows he has NO chance of winning. In fact nobody other than Stuart Appleby has a chance. They should just give Appleby the check and the trophy right now and forget playing the tournament.
I agree with you and think that Tiger’s decision on whether or not to play the Mercedes is based on his likelihood of winning. I suspected that he skipped the Tour Championship, not because he needed rest, but because he doesn’t have a good record there and figured he might ruin his ‘win’ streak by losing there. Although he said in England that he considered the win streak to be over by losing at the HSBC Matchplay, I think he’s protecting the PGA Tour win streak as much as he can.